Project Parry
Human Hibernation & Longevity Research Initiative
Named after Urocitellus parryii (Arctic Ground Squirrel) — the mammal with the longest hibernation period (8+ months) and deepest body temperature drops (-2.9°C)
Executive Summary
Project Parry is a proposed research initiative to develop viable human hibernation technology for extended longevity. The goal is to enable humans to enter controlled torpor states for periods of 1-10 years, dramatically slowing biological aging and allowing individuals to effectively "time travel" to future eras where medical technology may offer solutions to currently incurable conditions—or full life extension.
The project combines advances in cryobiology, metabolic suppression (including emerging ultrasound-induced hypothermia and Q neuron optogenetics), and automated life support to create a safe, repeatable hibernation protocol.
Version 3.1 Research-Validated Updates
Key corrections based on peer-reviewed literature validation:
- Timeline revised: 12-14 years (extended from 9-11) based on regulatory pathway analysis
- Aging reduction: 2-5x slower (not 10x) per 2022-2025 research
- Oxygenator rotation: 7-10 days (35-50 swaps/year, not 6-12)
- Q neurons: Takahashi Lab (Tsukuba) attribution corrected; AAV safety concerns noted
- BAT arousal mechanism: Brown adipose tissue protocol added
- Regulatory: EMA PRIME provides 2-3 months acceleration (not 1-2 years); Phase 0 microdosing removed (incompatible)
Scientific Foundation
Hibernation is a natural metabolic state observed in numerous mammals.[1] Research demonstrates that epigenetic aging slows significantly during hibernation: Pinho et al. (2022) showed aging "stalls" in marmots, while Nature Aging (2025) reports aging "slows by up to 76%." Conservative interpretation: 2-5x slower biological aging (not 10x as sometimes claimed).[2]
Physiological Reductions During Hibernation
Data from Arctic Ground Squirrel (Urocitellus parryii) studies[3] — black bar = hibernation, gray background = normal
Key Research Areas
Torpor Induction
Life Support & Protection
- LVAD + Oxygenator hybrid (7-10 day rotation; 35-50 swaps/year)
- AI monitoring system (50+ variables, predictive)
- Neuroprotection (RBM3 cold-shock proteins)
- BAT arousal mechanism (β3-agonists for rewarming)
- Arousal/rewarming protocol (30-35 hour process)
Competitive Landscape
The hibernation and longevity space has seen significant activity and investment (2024 global longevity investment: $8.49 billion, up 220% from 2023). Total identified hibernation-adjacent funding exceeds $800M:
| Organization | Focus | Funding/Status |
|---|---|---|
| Until Labs (formerly Cradle) | Reversible cryopreservation | $106M+ raised (Jan 2024); Sam Altman backed |
| Fauna Bio | Hibernation biology for drug discovery | $494M Eli Lilly deal (2024); $160M raised |
| NASA STASH Program | Torpor for space travel | NIAC 2024 selection; government validation |
| ESA Hibernation Initiative | Human hibernation for Mars | First trials estimated mid-2030s |
| Washington University | Ultrasound-induced hypothermia | Nature Metabolism 2023; tech licensing opportunity |
| Takahashi Lab (Tsukuba) | Q neuron identification | Nature 2020; foundational Q neuron research |
| Hrvatin Lab (Harvard/MIT) | Torpor molecular mechanisms | NIH funded; parallel torpor research |
| Spaceworks | NASA torpor habitat contractor | NIAC Phase II funding |
Strategic Positioning
Project Parry differentiates through:
- Longevity focus (vs. space travel focus of NASA/ESA)
- Full-stack approach (induction + maintenance + arousal vs. single-component)
- Foundation structure (perpetual mandate vs. corporate exit timeline)
- Self-experimentation pathway (founder as first long-duration subject)
Proposed Infrastructure (Phased Approach)
Version 3.0 introduces a phased facility strategy that reduces initial capital commitment from $70M to $27-35M while validating technology before major infrastructure investment:
Phase 1: Hospital Partnership Years 1-4
| Aspect | Conservative | Optimistic |
|---|---|---|
| Capital Required | $8-15M | $6-12M |
| Focus | Short-duration trials (24hr → 7 days → 30 days) | |
| Candidate Sites | Oslo University Hospital, Karolinska, Johns Hopkins, Cleveland Clinic | |
Advantage: Leverages existing infrastructure, ethics oversight, and regulatory frameworks
Phase 2: Callio Lab, Finland Years 4-7
| Factor | Benefit |
|---|---|
| Capital Required | $12-20M (Conservative) / $10-16M (Optimistic) |
| Existing facility | Operational immediately; no construction needed |
| Depth | 1,400m — superior radiation shielding vs. 200m |
| Research-ready | Labs, clean rooms, power already installed |
| Regulatory | Finnish environment is EU-aligned but innovation-friendly |
| Hospital proximity | Oulu University Hospital within 200km |
Phase 3: Norwegian Mine Years 7+ (DEFERRED)
Contingent on Phase 2 Success
- Capital: $70-105M (Conservative) / $55-80M (Optimistic)
- Only proceed if: Hibernation technology proven at Callio Lab
- Purpose: Scale-up facility for commercial operations
- Savings if deferred: $35-60M capital preserved for other uses
Facility Layout (Revised)
2-3 level underground facility (reduced from 4 levels). Diminishing returns on radiation shielding after 200m; this design reduces vertical transportation risk and lowers costs:
Cost Optimization Strategy
Cooling System 80%+ Savings
Industrial chillers + redundancy
$2-3M + $50K/yr
Geothermal loop + passive rock thermal mass
$400-600K + $5K/yr
Life Support Systems Critical Engineering
Circuit thrombosis/biofouling limits to 2-4 weeks max
Never proven beyond 2 months
LVAD: 5-7 year MTBF (pump; 60% failures are peripherals); Oxygenator: 7-10 day rotation
35-50 oxygenator swaps per year of hibernation (revised from 6-12)
AI Monitoring System NEW
15-20 FTE required for continuous monitoring
$1.5-2.5M/year staffing costs
50+ variable predictive system; early anomaly detection
30-50% staffing reduction; pattern recognition hours before human-visible signs
Nutrition Protocol REVISED
300-500 kcal/day via standard TPN
Higher than metabolic requirement
150-200 kcal/day; 60-70% lipids, ketone-based brain support
Matches 2-5% torpor metabolic rate; mimics natural hibernators
Pharmacology
Licensed drugs at commercial rates
$100K+/year
GMP-licensed manufacturing via pharma partners (required for compliance)
$30-50K/year through strategic partnerships
Financial Model
Foundation Structure
A Norwegian Stiftelse (foundation) provides perpetual institutional stability, favorable tax treatment for research organizations, and legal protection spanning centuries.
- Hibernation protocol development
- Clinical trials management
- Scientific publication
- Academic partnerships
- Longevity-focused VC fund
- Biotech equity positions
- IP licensing revenue
- Spinoff company stakes
Investment Strategy
The foundation invests in technologies directly applicable to the mission:
| Category | Examples | Strategic Value |
|---|---|---|
| Cryobiology | Organ preservation startups | Direct protocol improvement |
| Metabolic Modulation | Torpor drug developers | Core hibernation tech |
| Biomonitoring | Continuous sensing companies | Reduces monitoring costs |
| Senolytics | Cellular rejuvenation | Recovery phase therapeutics |
| AI/Automation | Medical robotics | Reduces staffing costs |
Capital Requirements (Phased Approach)
| Phase | Duration | Conservative | Optimistic |
|---|---|---|---|
| Phase 1: Hospital Partnership | Years 1-4 | $28-35M | $22-28M |
| Phase 2: Callio Lab | Years 4-7 | $32-40M | $26-32M |
| Phase 3: Norwegian Mine | Years 7+ (Contingent) | $70-105M | $55-80M |
| Operational Reserve | Ongoing | $35-50M | $25-40M |
| Total (Phases 1-2 only) | $95-125M | $73-100M | |
| Total (all phases) | $165-230M | $128-180M |
Key insight: Phased approach commits only $27-35M before validating technology works. Previous approach committed $70M upfront.
Operating Costs (Realistic)
Medical/research staff (15-20 FTE): $1.5-2.5M/year
Facility operations: $1-2M/year
Equipment maintenance: $800K-1.2M/year
Regulatory compliance: $300-500K/year
Insurance/liability: $1.5-4M/year
Total Annual Operating: $8-15M (early) / $15-22M (at scale)
Revenue Streams (Accelerated via Spin-offs)
| Source | Years 1-4 | Years 5-7 | Years 8-11 | Year 12+ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Organ Preservation Spin-off | $0 | $2-5M | $5-12M | $8-20M |
| CRO Services | $0-1M | $2-4M | $3-5M | $3-5M |
| IP Licensing | $0 | $0-2M | $2-5M | $5-10M |
| Research Grants | $1-3M | $2-4M | $3-5M | $3-5M |
| Strategic Partnerships | $1-3M | $3-6M | $4-8M | $5-10M |
| Training Center | $0 | $0-1M | $1-3M | $2-5M |
| Data Licensing | $0 | $0-500K | $500K-1M | $1-2M |
| Total (Conservative) | $2-7M | $9-22M | $19-39M | $27-57M |
| Total (Optimistic) | $4-10M | $15-30M | $30-50M | $40-70M |
New Revenue Streams (v3.0)
- Organ Preservation Spin-off: $4B+ market; leverage cryoprotection research; foundation retains equity
- CRO Services: Animal torpor testing for pharma/biotech; unique capability; high margins
- Training Center: Hypothermia/torpor protocol certifications for emergency medicine, surgery, space medicine
Path to Self-Sustainability
| Metric | Conservative | Optimistic | Previous (v2.0) |
|---|---|---|---|
| Break-even Year | Year 7 | Year 6 | Year 9-10 |
| Cumulative Investment Recovery | Year 10-11 | Year 8-9 | Year 12+ |
| Total Revenue (Years 1-12) | $93M | $167M | $51-97M |
12-14 Year Development Roadmap (Research-Validated)
Version 3.1 extends the timeline based on regulatory pathway analysis. Phase 0 microdosing removed (incompatible with torpor drugs); EMA PRIME provides months of acceleration, not years:
Conservative Timeline (14 Years)
Optimistic Timeline (12 Years)
With favorable regulatory outcomes and accelerated milestones:
- Year 5: First human torpor trial (24hr)
- Year 7: 30-day human trial
- Year 9: First 6-month hibernation
- Year 12: 1-year hibernation validated
Total optimistic investment: $95M (Phases 1-2) + reserve
Total investment (Phases 1-2):
- Conservative: $100M direct + $35-50M reserve
- Optimistic: $95M direct + $25-40M reserve
- Previous (v3.0): $87M direct + $35-50M reserve
Long-Term Vision: Century-Spanning Protocol
The Mathematics of Extended Longevity (Revised)
Based on 2-5x aging reduction during torpor (per 2022-2025 research), not "stalls" completely:
| Hibernation | Awake | Bio Aging/Cycle (2-5x) | Calendar Time |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 year | 3 months | ~5-9 months | 15 months |
| 2 years | 3 months | ~8-15 months | 27 months |
| 10 years | 6 months | ~3-6 years | 10.5 years |
If hibernating 10 years / awake 6 months repeatedly:
- 100 calendar years = ~10 cycles = ~28-35 biological years of aging (revised from 15-20)
- 200 calendar years = ~20 cycles = ~55-70 biological years
- Realistic potential: Witness 200-300 years while biologically aging to ~80
Note: Previous calculations assumed aging "stalls" completely (10x), which is not supported by current literature.
Phased Implementation
4x cycles of 1-2 year hibernation
5x cycles of 5-year hibernation
10x cycles of 10-year hibernation
Longevity tech advanced enough that hibernation becomes optional
The Temporal Arbitrage Advantage
Each awakening provides access to decades of external medical progress:
| Calendar Year | You Wake Up To | Benefit |
|---|---|---|
| 2035 | First robust anti-aging drugs | Reduce recovery aging |
| 2055 | Organ regeneration tech | Replace damaged organs |
| 2085 | Advanced nanomedicine | In-situ cellular repair |
| 2125 | Mature longevity tech | May not need hibernation |
Key Insight
Hibernation serves as a bridge to technologies that make hibernation unnecessary. You don't need to solve aging—you just need to survive long enough for civilization to solve it for you.
Accelerating Returns: The Path to >10:1 Ratio
The conservative 2-5x projection assumes hibernation efficacy remains static. This is overly pessimistic—Project Parry's own research and investments are designed to improve outcomes over time.
Target: >10:1 Calendar-to-Biological Aging Ratio
A 10:1 ratio (100 calendar years = 10 biological years) would restore the original 500+ year potential. This is achievable through:
- Torpor depth optimization: Deeper hypothermia = slower aging
- Epigenetic reprogramming: Active enhancement via Yamanaka factors during torpor
- Senolytic therapy: Clear senescent cells during each arousal cycle
- Protocol refinement: Each cycle generates data to improve the next
Feedback Loop Model
2-3x aging reduction; establish protocols
3-4x aging reduction; deeper torpor + epigenetic interventions
5-7x aging reduction; gene therapy + senolytic integration
8-12x aging reduction targeted; decades of data inform protocol
Revised Projections (With Accelerating Returns)
| Scenario | Years 0-50 | Years 50-150 | Years 150-300 | Total Bio Aging |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Conservative (static 2-5x) | 15-30 yrs | 25-50 yrs | 30-60 yrs | 70-140 yrs |
| Moderate (improving to 8x) | 12-20 yrs | 15-25 yrs | 15-25 yrs | 42-70 yrs |
| Optimistic (achieving 10x+) | 10-15 yrs | 10-15 yrs | 10-15 yrs | 30-45 yrs |
With Accelerating Returns (10:1 Target)
- 300 calendar years = ~40-50 biological years of aging
- Starting at age 40, ending at biological age 80-90
- Restores the original 500+ year potential if ratio continues improving
The conservative projection is a floor, not a ceiling. Each hibernation cycle should yield better results than the last.
Investment Arm Contributions
The Foundation's Investment Arm specifically targets technologies that could improve hibernation outcomes:
| Investment Category | Example Targets | Impact on Aging Ratio |
|---|---|---|
| Epigenetic reprogramming | Altos Labs, Turn Bio | +2-3x to aging reduction |
| Senolytic therapies | Unity Biotechnology, Oisín | Clear torpor-accumulated damage |
| Gene therapy delivery | AAV improvements, LNP tech | Enable safe Q neuron optogenetics |
| Cryoprotection advances | Until Labs, Cradle | Deeper hypothermia without damage |
| AI/biomarker monitoring | Continuous sensing startups | Real-time protocol optimization |
Current Technology Readiness
Technology Readiness Level (TRL) scale: 1 = Basic research, 9 = Operational system[7]
Assessment
Core enabling technologies (hypothermia, LVAD, monitoring) are mature. Primary gaps are in long-duration validation, ultrasound induction scaling to humans, and integration of pharmacological torpor with life support systems. This represents an engineering and protocol challenge rather than fundamental scientific barriers.
The Path Forward
Project Parry v3.1 represents a research-validated pathway to radical human longevity. The biology supports it. The engineering is challenging but achievable. The regulatory pathway is complex but navigable.
Conservative: $100-130M over 14 years | Optimistic: $95-115M over 12 years
Discuss This ProjectReferences & Sources
Note: This proposal (Version 3.1) synthesizes published research and comprehensive peer-reviewed literature validation. Key claims have been corrected based on source verification. Conservative and optimistic estimates are provided throughout. Actual implementation would require extensive additional research, ethical review, and regulatory approval.